Download the latest Randi’s Roundup–2 pages covering highlights of new publications that may interest the Alaska fire science and management community. The September Roundup includes articles on tundra fire effects, permafrost carbon emissions, fuel treatment planning tools and public perceptions, changes in fire regime and fire weather, rising fire costs and more.
Link > https://www.frames.gov/media/2849
With Alaska blueberry season upon us, we are showcasing research on blueberries! Bonanza Creek LTER undergraduates Cooper Moen (UAF) and Risa Heinrichs (U Wisconsin Madison) and their mentor Dr. Katie Spellman (UAF) studied blueberry production in four historical burn sites on Murphy Dome outside Fairbanks to see if burn age or insect damage affected berry production. Berry production was a little higher in the youngest (6 yrs) and the oldest (roughly 86 yrs) burned sites but age of burn alone was not a strong predictor of the number of berries at the site. Rather, local site conditions such as soil temperature and more moss and shrub cover (which could result from burning under the right conditions) were the better sites for blueberry production. The team also looked at whether insect damage on the blueberry plants affected the number of berries (it didn’t seem to). The work is summarized in their 2026 poster: Berries in the Burn– interactions between insect herbivory, berry production, and wildfire in Interior Alaska.
If berries are your thing, you should check out the University of Alaska site Alaska Berry Futures, which summarizes lore on blueberries, cloudberries, crowberries, lingonberries and salmonberries as well as how these species might be reacting to our rapidly warming climate in Alaska.
In the early days of fire fuel treatments 25 years ago an experiment was conducted to investigate whether thinning Alaska interior black spruce stands could moderate fire behavior and what would happen to these fuel treatments over time. Partners Tanana Chiefs Corporation, Alaska Fire Service, and Alaska Department of Forestry conducted operational fuel treatments at 3 sites and the Joint Fire Science Program sponsored the research and monitoring portion of the experiment. What do these treatments look like now, and how have conditions changed over time? We had the opportunity to revisit and re-measure one of the demonstration sites recently with fire ecologist Eric Miller of the Wildland Fire Service—this one near the Gerstle River east of Delta Junction.
The thinned stands today (left) have filled in a little with spruce, both young trees and crown expansion, since thinning but are open and park-like. The retain the forest character but with more willows and caribou moss (lichens) replacing some of the feather underneath the trees. The forest floor organic layer is thinner by half and the depth to frost much deeper. Look at the difference compared to the untreated “control” plot nearby!
A recent paper by Lucas Diaz, et al. (2026) builds upon previous work to more accurately estimate the carbon impact of southwest Alaska tundra fires. When Moubarak, et al. 2023 studied the after-effects of the 2015 tundra fires, they found that 910,000 metric tons of carbon were released in emissions alone from the 134,000 acres of fires in that region. More recently, Diaz’ team studied the 2022 Apoon Pass/East Fork fires in southwest Alaska using similar methods to tie field measurements to satellite-generated burn severity metrics. Just these two fires in 2022 released the carbon equivalent of 6,876,178 barrels of oil, not counting any post-fire release due to permafrost thaw, nor the carbon footprint of the fire suppression efforts. Tussock tundra emitted an average of 1.59 ± 0.55 kg C m−2 during combustion. In 2022 burn depth averaged 7 cm, so only 11% of the total pre-fire carbon stock was consumed–mostly duff organic soil. These estimates compare favorably with Moubarak’s earlier findings of 1.68 kg C m−2 for the 2015 tundra fires. Moubarak further calculated that those fires would have a warming impact on the atmosphere for about 80 years, given the long residence time of CO2 in the atmosphere. Links to these Open Access articles are below:
Diaz, L. R., Saperstein, L.B., van Gerrevink, M.J., Wangchuk, S., Hessilt, T.D., Janssen, T.A.J., Scholten, R.C., Delcourt, C.J.F. and Veraverbeke, S. 2026. Fire severity and carbon combustion from tussock tundra fires in Southwest Alaska. Environ. Res.: Climate 5 025011.
Moubarak, M., Sistla, S., Potter, S., Natali, S. M., and Rogers, B. M. 2023. Carbon emissions and radiative forcings from tundra wildfires in the Yukon–Kuskokwim River Delta, Alaska. Biogeosciences, 20, 1537–1557.
Alaskans know we must live with fire. A new open-access article in iScience synthesizes recent fuel break research from Alaska and Yukon, drawing on input from rural community representatives and scientists alike. The study presents a compelling case: fuel breaks designed with “co-benefits” can add ecological and socio-economic value while increasing social acceptance. The research highlights opportunities to move beyond traditional fuel break approaches toward more adaptive and ecologically informed designs. These innovations include tailoring fuel breaks to local vegetation, integrating them with natural landscape features, and aligning placement with suppression and community protection goals.
Citation: Link, NT; JF Johnstone, XJ Walker, F Amundsen, HK Berrios, L Bibeau, K Cooley, AC Erickson, C Johnston, JM Little, N Lowjewski, AD Perrin, CA Phillips, S Potter, DC Rees, LB Saperstein, JE Schmidt, EE Sousa, KV Spellman, A Spring, and MC Mack. 2025. Mitigating increasing wildfire risk through fuel break innovations. iScience. Open Access.
Image credit: Victor Leshyk, Center for Ecosystem Science and Society, Northern Arizona University
Wildfires are becoming larger and more severe as the climate shifts in the far north. Fuel breaks are a tool to proactively mitigate risk, but they are expensive, require maintenance, and come with side effects that are sometimes unwelcome to locals. Is there a better path forward?
The Fuel Breaks with Benefits project addresses this question, exploring benefits to communities and ecosystems that could make fuel break planning more effective and appealing. The project established a network of northern experts from many knowledge systems and sectors in Alaska, Yukon, British Columbia, and Northwest Territories to assess opportunities for developing fuel reduction treatments with sustainable social-ecological benefits in boreal forests. The authors emphasize that fuel breaks are not a standalone solution—they are most effective when combined with broader wildfire management strategies, including land-use planning, community preparedness, and fire-smart development practices.
Many of you will recall the work Badola and Panda have been doing at UAF to test development of low-cost, detailed vegetation maps for boreal Alaska using widely available Sentinel-2 satellite data. Fire managers challenged Anushree Badola (for her PhD work) to make fuels maps that were more accurate than LANDFIRE and better separated black spruce from mixed and deciduous forest types. That work (and her doctorate) was completed last year, and indeed, for the interior Alaska testing site, they appear to be twice as accurate as LANDFIRE at a 30m resolution and do a good job of distinguishing forest types. But did you know that she has made those maps (which cover most of Alaska with the exception of the western end of the Seward Peninsula and the North Slope) available for free download? All is explained succinctly in her STORYMAP and there is also a 2-minute video refresher by Anushree about the project, which was sponsored by National Science Foundation grants and the State of Alaska, with lots of input from the fire management community. Here’s a screenshot from the Storymap as a teaser!
New data compiled in NOAA’s 2024 Arctic Report card illuminates the delicate balance between boreal/arctic regions production of carbon dioxide (especially fire smoke and microbial respiration) and it’s uptake (by photosynthesizing vegetation). This balance is sensitive to ambient temperature, and of course is influenced in various ways by wildfire. Slowing down the atmospheric increase in CO2 from burning fossil fuels has taken on some urgency as we see more and more adverse impacts from warmer atmosphere and oceans due to its greenhouse effects. Land management and fire management may have a role to play, especially as we race to develop alternative energy sources. Take a look at this well-illustrated 8-p summary to bring yourself up to speed with what’s happening with carbon in the north country. Link to the report: https://doi.org/10.25923/0gpp-mn10
“When including wildfire emissions, the Arctic tundra region has shifted to a carbon dioxide (CO2) source and is a consistent methane (CH4) source.” (Natali et al. 2024, NOAA Technical Report OAR ARC ; 24-11)
A recent study headed by the University of Washington is catching national media attention currently as it points to a connection between exposure to wildfire smoke and dementia in older adults from a large study in California. One new advance is the ability to distinguish between ambient wildfire smoke vs. other types of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure. Although the team’s publication in PubMed is pay-walled (Elser, et al. 2024), you can read a concise description of their work in this November, 2024 Research Highlight by the NIH National Institute on Aging, by Brian Doctrow, PhD. In a nutshell, among 1.2 million Californians aged 60+, there did seem to be a connection between neighborhood wildfire PM2.5 exposure and dementia diagnosis, which was considerably stronger than the connection with other types of fine particulate exposure. For every 1 μg/m3 increase in average wildfire PM2.5, the odds of receiving a dementia diagnosis increased by 18%.
Caribou lichens, Cladonia (Cladina) spp., are a slow-growing, vital winter forage for caribou. They are commonly called “reindeer moss” but aren’t really moss. And they are important to both reindeer and to caribou. Eric Palm (2022), for his PhD thesis, used GPS-collared caribou locations from several agencies in Alaska to show that caribou strongly avoided burned areas, especially in winter, and that their preference was related to lichen abundance. He concluded that: “caribou will experience increasing winter habitat loss as fire frequency and severity increase [in a warmer climate]. . . .We suggest that management strategies prioritizing protection of core winter range . . . would provide important climate-change refugia for caribou.” In a separate study, Matt Macander et al. (2020) demonstrated effective satellite mapping of lichen-rich ranges in Alaska, and his analyses also reinforced the caribou preference for habitat areas with >30% lichen cover.
Often you hear that lichens are only important in winter, but Libby Ehler (2021) used GPS video collars as well as diet analysis from droppings to show that lichens dominated caribou summer diet for the Alaska Fortymile Herd: 59% of composition of fecal pellets and 39% of observed foraging on the video collars in summer was lichen (vs. 37% shrubs). Only in June and July did the videos record a little more browsing on shrub than lichen, and in winter caribou expend a lot of energy locating and digging for rich patches of ground-hugging lichens. Previous studies demonstrated similar diet dominance by lichens in other herds in Alaska and Canada.
Now, in a new study, Liming He, of Natural Resources Canada, has documented large-scale decline in these lichen habitats in Eastern Canada. His study derived caribou lichen cover maps for two time periods ~30 years apart (1980’s, & 2020’s) using Landsat satellite imagery for a large area including several boreal caribou population ranges. Lichen cover declined in 62% of the region evaluated and increased in 11%. Fires were responsible for a quarter of the decrease, even in a region of Canada where fires have been relatively rare. The larger part (3/4) remains unexplained, with warming-induced shrub encroachment high on the list of suspects. Although we do not yet have a comparable study for Alaska, Macander et al. (2022) found lichen had declined 13% as a plant functional type in Alaska from 1985-2020, in a study that also used Landsat satellite data.
Taken together, these studies should alert wildlife and land managers about a possible habitat crisis on the horizon for Alaska’s 2nd largest subsistence resource. Indeed, most caribou herds across North America are experiencing declines, including the Western Arctic Caribou herd—once Alaska’s largest—featured in a recent Alaska Beacon article. The George River Caribou Herd in eastern Canada was the world’s largest in the 1990’s (800,000 animals) but by 2022 was down to just 7,200. Part of that herd’s decline is thought to be based on habitat degradation from overuse.
Citations: Liming He, et al. 2024. Satellite-detected decreases in caribou lichen cover, Cladonia (Cladina) spp., over Eastern Canada during the last three decades. Forest Ecology and Management 556 (2024) 121753.
Matthew J Macander, et al. 2022. Time-series maps reveal widespread change in plant functional type cover across Arctic and boreal Alaska and Yukon. Environ. Res. Lett. 17 054042.
Matthew J Macander, et al. 2020. Lichen cover mapping for caribou ranges in interior Alaska and Yukon. Environ. Res. Lett. 15(5):055001.
Eric C. Palm, et al. 2022.Increasing fire frequency and severity will increase habitat loss for a boreal forest indicator species. Ecological Applications, 32(3): e2549.
Libby Ehlers, et al. 2021. Critical summer foraging tradeoffs in a subarctic ungulate. Ecology and Evolution, 11:17835–17872.
Fire, Lichens, and Caribou: what do we know? AFSC Research Brief, 2018
Yereth Rosen. Western Arctic Caribou Herd population decline continues, with hunting expected to be affected. Alaska Beacon, 12/19/2023. Wekʼèezhìi Renewable Resources Board website, Canada (accessed 5/29/24). https://www.northerncaribou.ca/herds/eastern-migratory/george-river/
Feature: Fire can make hardwood stands enduring
As one significant boreal research project (the NASA Arctic Boreal Variability Experiment) winds down, another important research collaboration is winding up, thanks to hard work by a group of scientists in Bonanza Creek Long-Term Ecological Research unit (BNZ-LTER). Both projects have tackled important fire science and management issues in Alaska. Although BNZ-LTER grew from the Bonanza Creek Experimental Forest (beginning in the 1980’s) and Caribou-Poker Creek Watershed, it’s work now expands across Alaska and western Canada and includes collaborating researchers from many locations, but especially University of Alaska and Northern Arizona University. BNZ-LTER also welcomes broad collaboration from land and resource managers and community stakeholders.
Research at the BNZ-LTER has always had a strong wildfire component. Dr Michelle Mack leads the unit as their Principal Investigator, as well as heading Northern Arizona University’s (NAU) Plant and Ecosystem Ecology Research Lab. In May 2023, Dr. Mack and her team were awarded a renewed grant of $7.6 m from the National Science Foundation for support through 2029. The project, titled Changing Disturbances, Ecological Legacies, and the Future of the Alaskan Boreal Forest, has several subtopics, including a Wildfire Working Group led by Dr. Xanthe Walker (NAU). The wildfire group is studying direct and indirect effects of fire, such as seedling re-establishment, effect on soil microbes, overwintered fires and stream chemistry. They are also studying fire management activities like fuel breaks. One recent publication by Walker, Mack, Johnstone, and others is highlighted in our latest Research Brief: When does fire change a spruce forest into hardwoods? The paper discusses what has been learned from the LTER’s extensive network of post-fire forest plots on drivers and thresholds of stand-type conversions—a hot topic for a number of management applications.
