ACCAP webinar: Climate Change and Boreal Forest Fires: What does the future hold? Presented by Mike Flannigan, University of Alberta

Tuesday, July 23, 2013 at 10:00 AM AKDT.

More information including recordings of the webinar here.

Also see our post of 5/20/2013 about an AFSC Research Brief on Flannigan’s recent work.

Abstract: Wildland fire is a common occurrence resulting from interactions between climate/weather, vegetation, and people. Our climate and associated day-to-day weather may be changing rapidly, due to human activities that may have dramatic and unexpected impacts on regional and global fire regimes. Existing studies suggest a general overall increase in area burned and fire occurrence, although there is a lot of spatial variability, with some areas of no change or even decreases in area burned and occurrence. The onset of climate change has been rapid and more significant in boreal regions as compared to other parts of the world. Fire activity has already been increasing in many parts of the boreal regions, and many studies suggest that this trend will continue and may even intensify. There is a potential for positive feedback as boreal ecosystems contain 30-40% of the world’s terrestrial carbon, with much of this in peatlands that may be vulnerable to increased fire activity and fire severity (depth of burn).

A warmer world means a longer fire season, more lightning activity, which is responsible for most of the area burned in boreal ecosystems, and drier fuels that would contribute to fire occurrence and spread. In terms of fire management, enhanced fire danger rating systems that accurately predict the spatial and temporal variability in fire danger can help us adapt to a warmer world.

An early alert from the Joint Fire Science Program about topics under consideration for the Funding Opportunity Notice announcement planned for October 2013. No guarantees, but some food for thought.

Download the Notice of Intent for details.

This notice references the three goals of the National Cohesive Wildland Fire Management Strategy (“Cohesive Strategy”), released in 2010:
• Restore and maintain resilient landscapes
• Create fire-adapted communities
• Safe and effective wildfire response

The Cohesive Strategy includes regional assessments to address needs and challenges at regional and local levels. Alaska is included in the Western Regional Action Plan, released in April 2013.